Discover/AI Search/Elicit Forecasting

Elicit Forecasting

AI prediction markets platform

AI SearchOpen SourceFree tier
Rating
4.1 ★★★★★
0 reviews
Views
863
total views
Saved
176
users saved
Pricing
Free
free
Platform
Web
API available

Overview

Elicit Forecasting — AI prediction markets platform

Manifold Markets is an open-source prediction markets platform where users create, trade, and resolve markets about real-world events. AI features assist with market creation, outcome prediction analysis, and aggregating forecasts for research and decision-making.

Prediction market creation

Mana (virtual currency) trading

AI market suggestions

Aggregated forecasts

Features & capabilities

Everything it does, in plain English.

FeaturePrediction market creationIncluded
FeatureMana (virtual currency) tradingIncluded
FeatureAI market suggestionsIncluded
FeatureAggregated forecastsIncluded
FeatureOpen sourceIncluded
FeatureAPI accessIncluded
FeatureLeaderboardsIncluded
API AccessProgrammatic access available for developers.Available
PlatformsWeb

The honest take

Where it shines, where it stumbles.

✓ Pros

  • Fun and engaging format
  • Open source
  • Good for aggregating wisdom of crowds
  • Free to use

! Watch-outs

  • !Virtual currency (no real money in most markets)
  • !Market quality varies
  • !Limited to relatively binary outcomes

Who it's for

Where Elicit Forecasting pays for itself fast.

— Use case
Forecasting and prediction
— Use case
Research on future events
— Use case
Team decision-making
— Use case
Fun wagering on events
— Use case
AI alignment research

Community reviews

Share your take on Elicit Forecasting

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4.1
0 reviews
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Sofia P. ✓ Verified
Engineering Manager · GitHub
2 months ago
The best solution I've used
Can't imagine working without it now. The ROI was clear within the first week of using it. The outputs require minimal editing — saves so much back-and-forth. The onboarding flow was smooth and I was productive from day one.
A
Ananya P. ✓ Verified
Frontend Engineer · an e-commerce company
2 months ago
Worth every cent
Can't imagine working without it now. I've tried 5 similar tools and this one is clearly the best in class. Performance is fast — no noticeable latency even on large inputs.
N
Nathan J. ✓ Verified
Consultant
9 months ago
Happy with my subscription
Genuinely useful — glad I tried it. The output quality surprised me — it actually sounds human. I've recommended this to at least 10 colleagues already. The collaboration features are genuinely well thought-out. Some features feel half-baked — hopefully they'll improve.
A
Amanda A. ✓ Verified
Copywriter · Meta
10 months ago
Exceptional quality and value
Seriously impressive. The interface is intuitive enough that I didn't need to read any docs. Customer support responded within hours and solved my issue. Keep up the great work, team.
K
Kai H. ✓ Verified
Product Designer · an e-commerce company
11 months ago
Mixed experience overall
Average experience, average results. It integrates well with VS Code / Slack / Notion — my daily drivers. I use this daily and it's become essential to how I work. Wish the free tier had slightly higher limits.
M
Matthew B.
Engineering Manager · Airbnb
1 years ago
Good for some things, not others
Does the job, nothing more. The onboarding flow was smooth and I was productive from day one.
B
Brittany L. ✓ Verified
Researcher · Amazon
1 years ago
Solid product, recommended
Does what it promises and does it well. The free tier is genuinely generous compared to competitors. The output quality surprised me — it actually sounds human. My team is very happy with the results.
A
Adam J. ✓ Verified
Senior PM · my own agency
1 years ago
The best product I've used
Game changer for my workflow. I've recommended this to at least 10 colleagues already.

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