Overview
Elicit Forecasting — AI prediction markets platform
Manifold Markets is an open-source prediction markets platform where users create, trade, and resolve markets about real-world events. AI features assist with market creation, outcome prediction analysis, and aggregating forecasts for research and decision-making.
Prediction market creation
Mana (virtual currency) trading
AI market suggestions
Aggregated forecasts
Features & capabilities
Everything it does, in plain English.
The honest take
Where it shines, where it stumbles.
✓ Pros
- ✓Fun and engaging format
- ✓Open source
- ✓Good for aggregating wisdom of crowds
- ✓Free to use
! Watch-outs
- !Virtual currency (no real money in most markets)
- !Market quality varies
- !Limited to relatively binary outcomes
Who it's for
Where Elicit Forecasting pays for itself fast.
Forecasting and prediction
Research on future events
Team decision-making
Fun wagering on events
AI alignment research
Community reviews
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