Overview
Elicit Forecasting — AI prediction markets platform
Manifold Markets is an open-source prediction markets platform where users create, trade, and resolve markets about real-world events. AI features assist with market creation, outcome prediction analysis, and aggregating forecasts for research and decision-making.
Prediction market creation
Mana (virtual currency) trading
AI market suggestions
Aggregated forecasts
Features & capabilities
Everything it does, in plain English.
FeaturePrediction market creationIncluded
FeatureMana (virtual currency) tradingIncluded
FeatureAI market suggestionsIncluded
FeatureAggregated forecastsIncluded
FeatureOpen sourceIncluded
FeatureAPI accessIncluded
FeatureLeaderboardsIncluded
API AccessProgrammatic access available for developers.Available
PlatformsWeb
The honest take
Where it shines, where it stumbles.
✓ Pros
- ✓Fun and engaging format
- ✓Open source
- ✓Good for aggregating wisdom of crowds
- ✓Free to use
! Watch-outs
- !Virtual currency (no real money in most markets)
- !Market quality varies
- !Limited to relatively binary outcomes
Who it's for
Where Elicit Forecasting pays for itself fast.
— Use case
Forecasting and prediction
— Use case
Research on future events
— Use case
Team decision-making
— Use case
Fun wagering on events
— Use case
AI alignment research
Community reviews
Share your take on Elicit Forecasting
Sign in to leave a verified review.
No reviews yet.
Alternatives
Similar tools worth comparing.
Hugging Face
The GitHub of machine learning — hosting 500,000+ AI models, datasets, and Spaces
DeepSeek
Chinese open-source AI models rivaling GPT-4 at fraction of cost
Llama by Meta
Meta's open-source LLM family powering thousands of AI applications
Flux by Black Forest Labs
Black Forest Labs' FLUX model — the leading open-source image AI
Supabase
Open-source backend-as-a-service with PostgreSQL database, auth, storage, and vector search for AI apps.
Mistral AI
High-performance open-weight LLMs from a European AI lab